Suns vs Thunder Prediction and Preview (Oct 26)
The Thunder opened at 71¢ and are 78¢ now for Monday’s home game against the Suns, a 7¢ move toward the team the market rates 1st of 30. This Suns vs Thunder prediction covers that price, Devin Booker’s and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s usage, and the Thunder’s injury list; tip is 8:00 PM ET on October 26.
Price: Thunder 78¢, Suns 22¢ (Polymarket, as of Mon 7:34 AM ET)
Kalshi: Thunder 79¢, Suns 22¢
2027 title price: Suns 1¢, Thunder 22¢ (Polymarket US)
Live price and every move: NBA WIRE
What the price says
At 78¢, the Thunder are clear favorites; the Suns are 22¢. Polymarket has the Thunder 1¢ cheaper; Kalshi is 79¢. Both apps’ prices are on NBA MARKET. That is up 7¢ from the Thunder’s opening price of 71¢. Across the 36 games we have logged this season, the favorite at tip won 24 (67%).
Suns vs Thunder player stats
The stats below are last season’s, matched to each player’s current team. Usage counts the share of team possessions a player ends with a shot, free throws or a turnover while on the floor.
Suns
Devin Booker: 33.5 min, 32.2% usage, 26.1 pts, 3.9 reb, 6.0 ast
Dillon Brooks: 30.4 min, 28.6% usage, 20.2 pts, 3.6 reb, 1.8 ast
Jalen Green: 25.9 min, 31.9% usage, 17.8 pts, 3.6 reb, 2.8 ast
Miles Bridges: 31.0 min, 22.3% usage, 17.1 pts, 5.8 reb, 3.2 ast (new, was CHA)
Collin Gillespie: 28.5 min, 18.7% usage, 12.7 pts, 4.1 reb, 4.6 ast
Thunder
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 33.2 min, 33.3% usage, 31.1 pts, 4.3 reb, 6.6 ast
Jalen Williams: 28.4 min, 26.1% usage, 17.1 pts, 4.6 reb, 5.5 ast
Chet Holmgren: 28.9 min, 21.9% usage, 17.1 pts, 8.9 reb, 1.7 ast
Ajay Mitchell: 25.8 min, 21.8% usage, 13.6 pts, 3.3 reb, 3.6 ast
Cason Wallace: 26.6 min, 14.5% usage, 8.6 pts, 3.1 reb, 2.6 ast
Recent form: Suns vs Thunder
Both teams’ games this week, each with its pre-game Polymarket price.
The Suns are 1-1 this week: a 124-83 loss at the Trail Blazers on Wednesday as 43¢ underdogs and a 131-122 home win over the Warriors on Saturday as 77¢ favorites. One of the two went over the total. On the market they rate 57, 13th of 30, and they are 1-1 against 1.1 expected wins.
The Thunder are 2-0 this week: a 116-104 win at the Spurs on Tuesday as 51¢ favorites and a 96-84 home win over the Nuggets on Thursday as 73¢ favorites. Neither game reached the total. On the market they rate 74, 1st of 30, and they are 2-0 against 1.2 expected wins. Their next two opponents rate 45 on average, an easier run than most.
How the main players did against their Polymarket props:
Jalen Green (Suns): under 18.5 points in both games; under 4.5 rebounds in both games
Devin Booker (Suns): over 3.5 rebounds in both games; over 0.5 threes
Jalen Williams (Thunder): over 4.5 rebounds in both games; under 4.5 assists in both games
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder): under 6.5 assists in both games; over 0.5 threes
Injury report: Suns vs Thunder
As of Oct 26. Thunder statuses can still move before the 8:00 PM ET tip.
Otega Oweh (Thunder): Out, not with team
Thomas Sorber (Thunder): Out, knee
Jalen Williams (Thunder): Out
Cason Wallace (Thunder): Doubtful
Nikola Topic (Thunder): Out, back
Suns vs Thunder FAQ
Is Devin Booker playing tonight?
Devin Booker was not on the injury report as of Sun 9:17 PM ET. The league’s game-day report, due 5 p.m. local the night before, has the final say.
Is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander playing tonight?
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander was not on the injury report as of Sun 9:17 PM ET. A shootaround update could still change that before tip.
Who is favored in Suns vs Thunder?
The Thunder. Polymarket has them at 78¢, which reads as about a 78% chance, and the price moves live on NBA WIRE.
When and where is Suns vs Thunder?
Monday, October 26, at 8:00 PM ET, in Oklahoma City.
Our other NBA previews cover Monday’s remaining games, and today’s board has the full four-sport schedule.
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