Pacers vs Bucks NBA Prediction, Oct 26
Update 7:38 PM ET: Andrew Nembhard is out (neck). Pacers 60¢ on Polymarket.
The Pacers have moved from 50¢ at open to 61¢ for Monday’s trip to Milwaukee, where the Bucks are 0-3 this week and rated 29th of 30 on the market. This Pacers vs Bucks prediction covers that price, both rotations and Indiana’s three outs; tip is 8:00 PM ET on October 26.
Price: Pacers 61¢, Bucks 39¢ (Polymarket, as of Sun 9:12 PM ET)
Kalshi: Pacers 60¢, Bucks 41¢
2027 title price: Pacers 3¢, Bucks 1¢ (Polymarket US)
Live price and every move: NBA WIRE
What the price says
The Pacers are favored at 61¢, with the Bucks at 39¢. Kalshi has the Pacers 1¢ cheaper at 60¢. Both apps sit side by side on NBA MARKET. That is up 11¢ from the Pacers’ opening price of 50¢. This season, the team favored at tip has won 24 of 36 games we have logged (67%).
Recent form: Pacers vs Bucks
This week’s results for both teams, with the pre-game Polymarket price.
The Pacers are 1-1 this week: a 123-120 win at the Pelicans on Wednesday as 57¢ favorites and a 121-105 home loss to the Mavericks on Friday as 69¢ favorites. Both went under the total. On the market they rate 50, 17th of 30, and they are 2-1 against 2.0 expected wins. Their next two opponents rate 47 on average, about an average run.
The Bucks are 0-3 this week: a 128-116 loss at the Wizards on Wednesday as 40¢ underdogs, a 132-125 home loss to the Bulls on Friday as 52¢ favorites and a 127-116 loss at the 76ers on Saturday as 17¢ underdogs. Two of the three went over the total. On the market they rate 30, 29th of 30, and they are 0-3 against 1.0 expected wins. Their next two opponents rate 51 on average, about an average run.
The key player props from those games:
Pascal Siakam (Pacers): over 14.5 points in both games; under 3.5 assists in both games
Andrew Nembhard (Pacers): over 9.5 points in both games; under 2.5 rebounds
Jaime Jaquez Jr. (Bucks): over 13.5 points in all 3; over 5.5 rebounds in all 3
Ryan Rollins (Bucks): over 3.5 rebounds in all 3; over 0.5 threes in both games
Injury report: Pacers vs Bucks
As of Oct 25. These can change right up to tip.
T.J. McConnell (Pacers): Out, hamstring
Ben Sheppard (Pacers): Out, knee
Johnny Furphy (Pacers): Out, knee
Andrew Nembhard (Pacers): Out, neck
Ivica Zubac (Pacers): Out, ankle
Pacers vs Bucks player stats
Last season’s numbers, mapped to current rosters. Usage is the share of team possessions a player ends while on the floor, with a shot, free throws or a turnover.
Pacers
Pascal Siakam: 33.2 min, 30.1% usage, 24.0 pts, 6.6 reb, 3.8 ast
Andrew Nembhard: 31.3 min, 23.6% usage, 16.9 pts, 2.8 reb, 7.7 ast (out: neck)
Kelly Oubre Jr.: 31.5 min, 18.1% usage, 14.1 pts, 5.0 reb, 1.6 ast (new, was PHI)
Aaron Nesmith: 29.7 min, 19.8% usage, 13.8 pts, 4.2 reb, 1.9 ast
Jarace Walker: 25.7 min, 20.7% usage, 11.6 pts, 5.1 reb, 2.5 ast
Out: T.J. McConnell, Ben Sheppard, Johnny Furphy, Andrew Nembhard, Ivica Zubac.
Bucks
Kevin Porter Jr.: 33.2 min, 24.3% usage, 17.4 pts, 5.2 reb, 7.4 ast
Ryan Rollins: 32.1 min, 24.2% usage, 17.3 pts, 4.6 reb, 5.6 ast
Tyler Herro: 31.3 min, 24.7% usage, 20.5 pts, 4.8 reb, 4.1 ast (new, was MIA)
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 28.3 min, 22.3% usage, 15.4 pts, 5.0 reb, 4.7 ast (new, was MIA)
A.J. Green: 29.1 min, 14.0% usage, 10.4 pts, 2.7 reb, 1.9 ast
Top rookies: Brayden Burries, pick 10 (Bucks).
Pacers vs Bucks FAQ
Who is favored in Pacers vs Bucks?
The Pacers. Polymarket has them at 61¢, which reads as about a 61% chance, and the price moves live on NBA WIRE.
When and where is Pacers vs Bucks?
Monday, October 26, at 8:00 PM ET, in Milwaukee.
More NBA previews are up for tonight’s other games, and today’s board has every game across the four sports.
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