Liverpool vs Arsenal prediction: Arsenal are 40¢ to win at Anfield on Polymarket and Kalshi, with Liverpool 33¢ and the draw 28¢. Arsenal have won 6 of their 7 league matches, Liverpool 4 of 7. Kickoff is Sunday, November 1, at 11:30 AM ET.
Current form
Arsenal: 18 points from 7 matches, 3.2 above the 14.8 that Kalshi's day-before prices expected, 2nd-best in the league (Expected)
Arsenal: 12 points from the last 5, 7 scored and 4 conceded; the one loss was 0-3 at Brighton on Sep 19 (EPL TABLE)
Liverpool: 14 points from 7, 1.8 above the 12.2 prices expected; 3rd, four points behind Arsenal (Expected)
Liverpool: 10 points from the last 5 with 5 goals scored; the loss was 0-3 at home to Man City (EPL TABLE)
Price: Liverpool 33¢, draw 28¢, Arsenal 40¢ (Polymarket, as of Thu 2:06 PM ET); Kalshi also has Arsenal at 40¢ (1:57 PM ET)
Live price and every move: EPL WIRE
What the price says
Arsenal at 40¢ means about a 40% chance; Liverpool at 33¢ and the draw at 28¢ split the rest. The season prices are further apart: Arsenal are 66¢ to win the title on Polymarket, Liverpool 7¢. The next big move usually comes with the team sheets, about an hour before kickoff. Watch the price live on EPL WIRE as the news lands.
What moves the Liverpool vs Arsenal price
Press conferences. Managers usually speak one to two days before kickoff; fitness updates there move the price.
The lineup an hour out. Team sheets drop about an hour before kickoff; check the price right after.
Midweek games. Clubs with a European game midweek often rotate, so check the lineup before trading.
Follow every move on EPL WIRE.
FAQ
Who is favored in Liverpool vs Arsenal?
Arsenal at 40¢ to win, with the draw at 28¢ and Liverpool at 33¢ on Polymarket (Thu 2:06 PM ET).
When is Liverpool vs Arsenal?
Sunday, November 1, at 11:30 AM ET.
What happens to a trade if the game ends in a draw?
The draw is its own outcome: contracts on either team to win settle at zero, and only the draw pays.
When are the lineups announced?
About an hour before kickoff, when the clubs publish their team sheets.
Prices change by the minute and are not advice.
Kalshi gives new traders $25 after a $25 trade (code SKILL, details).