Legacy vs MIBR Prediction and Pick: FISSURE Playground 3 Semifinal (Sep 12)
Event: FISSURE Playground 3, Semifinal
Start: Sat Sep 12, 2:00 AM ET
Format: best-of-three
The numbers
GOS fair value: Legacy 62.2% to win
Polymarket: Legacy 71¢
Edge: MIBR +8.8 points
Our read on Legacy vs MIBR
We make Legacy 62.2% to win the series. Polymarket has them at 71¢. That's a big gap: we're 8.8 points higher on MIBR than the market, the kind of disagreement we flag.
If Legacy wins, a 2-0 (33.9%) is a little more likely than going to a third map (28.3%). A third map happens 48.6% of the time by our numbers.
Top frag pick: insani (MIBR, rifler) is the most likely player to lead the series in kills at 29.6%, with latto next at 19.3%.
Series score chances
Legacy 2-0: 33.9%
Legacy 2-1: 28.3%
MIBR 2-1: 20.3%
MIBR 2-0: 17.5%
Lineups and CARNAGE ratings
Legacy: latto (rifler, 91), dumau (rifler, 90), try (AWP, 89), n1ssim (rifler, 78), arT (IGL, 77)
MIBR: insani (rifler, 92), nqz (AWP, 85), venomzera (rifler, 82), tomaszin (rifler, 77), LNZ (IGL, 70)
Players to watch
insani (MIBR, rifler): 29.6% to lead the series in kills, CARNAGE 92
latto (Legacy, rifler): 19.3% to lead the series in kills, CARNAGE 91
dumau (Legacy, rifler): 16.4% to lead the series in kills, CARNAGE 90
Map Prices
Legacy -1.5: GOS 33.9% vs 45¢ (edge -11.1)
MIBR +1.5: GOS 66.1% vs 57¢ (edge +9.1)
Over 2.5 maps: GOS 48.6% vs 43¢ (edge +5.6)
Under 2.5 maps: GOS 51.4% vs 59¢ (edge -7.6)
Quick answers
What time does Legacy vs MIBR start?
Sat Sep 12, 2:00 AM ET, best-of-three.
Who is favored in Legacy vs MIBR?
Legacy. Our fair value has them at 62.2%, and Polymarket prices them at 71¢.
Who is most likely to top frag?
insani (MIBR) at 29.6% to lead the series in kills.
Trade it: Legacy vs MIBR on Polymarket. New users get $50 on a $10 deposit with code SKILL.
More on this slate: live prices on MARKET · series ranges on RANGE · player ratings on CARNAGE · all of today's picks
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