Liquid vs Voca Prediction and Pick: PGL NA Qualifier Lower Bracket Final (Sep 12)
We make Liquid 74.5% to win the series. The market prices them at 79¢, a 4.5-point gap in favor of Voca.
PGL NA Qualifier Lower Bracket Final · Sat Sep 12, 3:00 PM ET · best-of-three
How the series splits
A third map lands 44.2% of the time on our numbers. Liquid in two is 44.9%, Liquid in three is 29.6%, Voca in three is 14.6% and Voca in two is 10.9%.
Liquid has the edge in talent, but it’s still early in JT’s reign as the new in-game leader. Jorko is also still finding his footing as the new AWP.
Top frag
EliGE (Liquid) is the most likely player to lead the series in kills at 35.3%, then malbsMd at 29.2% and Jorko at 14.8%.
The most interesting player on the Voca side for DFS purposes is the team’s AWPer, junior.
Lineups and CARNAGE ratings
Liquid: EliGE (rifler, 90), malbsMd (rifler, 89), Jorko (AWP, 85), NAF (rifler, 81), JT (IGL, 75)
Voca: junior (rifler, 84), MarKE (rifler, 81), snav (rifler, 79), dare (rifler, 78), nosraC (IGL, 71)
Map prices
Liquid -1.5: GOS 44.9% vs 54¢
Voca +1.5: GOS 55.1% vs 48¢
Over 2.5 maps: GOS 44.2% vs 40¢
Under 2.5 maps: GOS 55.8% vs 62¢
Quick answers
What time does Liquid vs Voca start?
Sat Sep 12, 3:00 PM ET, best-of-three.
Who is favored in Liquid vs Voca?
Liquid. Our fair value has them at 74.5% and the market prices them at 79¢.
Who is most likely to top frag?
EliGE (Liquid) at 35.3%.
Will it go three maps?
44.2% on our numbers. The market prices over 2.5 maps at 40¢.
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More on this slate: live prices on MARKET · series ranges on RANGE · player ratings on CARNAGE
Win probabilities are approximate and subject to change. Good luck!
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