Will Valve add Cache to the CS2 map pool in 2026?

Polymarket currently prices Cache returning to the map pool by June 30, 2026 at 42%. The April 30 deadline sits at 6%. GOS leans yes on the June contract — Valve has been signaling the return for months and community pressure is at a high.

Will Valve remove Nuke from the CS2 map pool?

Polymarket prices Nuke removal by June 30, 2026 at 32%. GOS leans no — Nuke is competitively balanced and Valve rarely removes maps based on pub complaints. 32% feels too high.

Will s1mple retire in 2026?

Polymarket prices s1mple retiring by June 30, 2026 at 38%. GOS leans no — his recent comments suggest he remains motivated. The market is pricing uncertainty too aggressively.

Will FaZe make a roster move before May 2026?

Polymarket prices a FaZe roster move before May 1, 2026 at 65%. GOS rates this a strong yes — the roster situation has been a known problem for months. 65% feels cheap.

Will Karrigan retire in 2026?

Polymarket prices Karrigan retiring by June 30, 2026 at 19%. GOS leans no — he has been actively competing and 19% is too high for a player who shows no signs of stepping away.

Which teams will qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Current Polymarket odds for IEM Cologne Major 2026 Opening Stage qualification: B8 96%, BetBoom 77%, BIG 69%, Team Liquid 61%, SINNERS 43%, Alliance 32%, NiP 5%, OG 2%. GOS leans yes on Liquid and NiP relative to their market prices.

Will Team Falcons win an S-tier CS2 event in 2026?

Polymarket prices Team Falcons winning an S-tier event in 2026 at 57%. GOS leans yes — m0NESY and the roster have the ceiling to win any event on a strong run.

CS2 Futures and Prediction Markets

Polymarket Prices · Saturday, May 16

Live Polymarket contract prices for CS2 futures. Event winners, map pool changes, roster moves, team and player markets. Refreshed before every major.

Last updated May 16, 2026

How to Read This Page

Each card shows a current Polymarket price as implied probability. Single-question markets show Yes vs No. Event-winner markets list each team independently (probabilities won't sum to 100%). Click any market to trade on Polymarket. For game-by-game edges on the daily slate see MARKET.

Featured Live Market

Live · Polymarket

Will Vitality Win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Live trading data · prices update in real time

Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Yes 59% · No 41%
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Event Markets

CS2 · IEM Atlanta IEM Atlanta 2026 Winner May 17, 2026 · Each team listed independently

Vitality

63%

BetBoom Team

13%

Natus Vincere

11%

Legacy

GamerLegion

paiN Gaming

Other

<1%

$371K Vol.

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CS2 · PGL Astana PGL Astana 2026 Winner May 17, 2026 · Each team listed independently · Live event

Spirit

31%

Falcons

20%

FURIA

16%

MOUZ

12%

11%

Aurora

Magic

Other

<1%

$239K Vol.

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CS2 · IEM Cologne Major IEM Cologne Major 2026 Winner Jun 21, 2026 · Each team listed independently

Vitality

59%

Falcons

Team Spirit

Natus Vincere

FURIA

FUT

PARIVISION

MOUZ

Aurora

The MongolZ

Astralis

Legacy

GamerLegion

paiN

Team Liquid

BetBoom

$481K Vol. · 13 more teams under 1%

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Event Specials

CS2 · IEM Atlanta · Specials New What Will Be Said During the IEM Atlanta 2026 Grand Finals? Caster prop bets · Each phrase listed independently

99%“No Kit”No 1%

90%“Bomb” 100+ timesNo 10%

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Map Pool & Game Updates

CS2 · Map Pool Which Maps Will Valve Remove by June 30? Each map listed independently

12%OverpassNo 88%

8%MirageNo 92%

6%InfernoNo 94%

4%NukeNo 96%

4%AncientNo 96%

1%Dust 2No 99%

$712K Vol.

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CS2 · Map Pool Will Valve Add Cobblestone to the Map Pool? Two resolution dates

9%By Aug 30No 91%

3%By June 30No 97%

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CS2 · Game Updates New Will Valve Add the First CS2 Operation? Two resolution dates

52%By May 31No 48%

18%By Aug 31No 82%

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Team Futures

CS2 · Team Futures Will Team Falcons Win an S-Tier Event in 2026? Any S-tier event, calendar year 2026

59%YesNo 41%

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CS2 · Team Futures Will FaZe Win a Tier 1 Event in 2026? Any Tier 1 event, calendar year 2026

11%YesNo 89%

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Roster Moves

CS2 · Roster Moves Will Astralis Make a Roster Change Before July? Any official roster change before July 1, 2026

72%YesNo 28%

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CS2 · Roster Moves Will Aurora Make a Roster Change Before July? Any official roster change before July 1, 2026

72%YesNo 28%

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CS2 · Roster Moves Will PARIVISION Make a Roster Change Before July? Any official roster change before July 1, 2026

72%YesNo 28%

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CS2 · Roster Moves Will The MongolZ Make a Roster Change Before July? Any official roster change before July 1, 2026

38%YesNo 62%

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CS2 · Roster Moves Will FURIA Make a Roster Change Before July? Any official roster change before July 1, 2026

25%YesNo 75%

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CS2 · Roster Moves New Will Team Spirit Make a Roster Change Before July? Any official roster change before July 1, 2026

Just Listed Trading live on Polymarket

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Player Futures

CS2 · Player Futures Will s1mple Retire by June 30? Official retirement announcement

10%YesNo 90%

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CS2 · Player Futures Will Karrigan Retire by June 30? Official retirement announcement

2%YesNo 98%

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Current Polymarket prediction market prices for CS2 futures including IEM Atlanta 2026 and PGL Astana 2026 winners, IEM Cologne Major 2026 odds, map pool changes, the first CS2 operation, team futures, roster move markets, and player retirement odds. Prices updated before each major event. For platform reviews see the Kalshi review and Polymarket review. For the IEM Cologne Major 2026 breakdown see the event guide. For the full tools hub see the tools page.