IEM Cologne Major 2026

Predictions, picks, player ratings, and market reads for the first CS2 Major of 2026. 32 teams at LANXESS Arena over three weeks. We cover every slate.

Opening Stage Begins
June 2, 2026 · LANXESS Arena
--Days
--Hours
--Mins
--Secs
Dates Jun 2–21 2026
Venue Cologne LANXESS Arena
Prize Pool $1.25M Valve-sponsored
Teams 32 April VRS rankings
Polymarket · Top 17 Ladder $6.8M Total Volume
Vitality
50%
Team Spirit
15%
Natus Vincere
9%
Falcons
8%
FURIA
5%
MOUZ
2%
The MongolZ
2%
Legacy
2%
FUT
2%
PARIVISION
2%
Aurora
1%
G2
1%
Astralis
1%
9z
1%
GamerLegion
1%
BetBoom
1%
paiN
1%
15 more teams trading at under 1% See Full Market

All 32 teams by entry point. The field narrows and the level rises stage to stage, Opening through Legends, then into the playoff bracket.

1

Opening

16 teams · Top 8 advance Swiss · BO1 / BO3
GamerLegion EU BetBoom EU HEROIC EU M80 AM Sharks AM MIBR AM TYLOO AS THUNDER dOWNUNDER AS BIG EU B8 EU SINNERS EU NRG AM Gaimin Gladiators AM Liquid AM Lynn Vision AS FlyQuest AS
2

Challengers

8 seeds + 8 from Opening · Top 8 advance Swiss · BO1 / BO3
Spirit EU G2 EU Monte EU paiN AM Astralis EU FUT EU 9z AM Legacy AM
3

Legends

8 seeds + 8 from Challengers · Top 8 to Playoffs Swiss · all BO3
Vitality EU PARIVISION EU Falcons EU FURIA AM Natus Vincere EU Aurora EU MOUZ EU The MongolZ AS

Opening → Challengers → Legends → Playoffs · Single-elim, BO5 final

Teams trending up and down ahead of Cologne.

▲ Trending Up FUT

Young and talented across the roster. Already has tier-one wins in 2026. Inexperience is the only real knock.

▲ Trending Up Spirit

Rough start with the new five, but donk and the core look sharp again. tN1R finding form is the key variable.

▼ Trending Down PARIVISION

Jame keeps them in every series, but recent performances are worrying. Rumors of lineup changes if certain players don't step up.

▼ Trending Down Aurora

XANTARES and Wicadia have the individual talent, but results have been poor. Not enough has come together against top teams.

Full breakdown: Players & teams to watch at Cologne Read post

The platforms we use and recommend for Cologne.

Prediction Markets
Kalshi
All 50 States CFTC Regulated Tournament + Game Winners

The only legal prediction market in all 50 US states. Tournament winner and per-game contracts open before June 2. Daily picks throughout Cologne on the Kalshi CS2 hub.

CS2 Pick'Em
Betr Picks
Legal in CA & TX Kill Pick'em

Legal in California and Texas where Sleeper and PrizePicks are not. Kill pick'em on every Cologne slate. Code SKILL at sign-up.

Common questions about the event.

When does Cologne start?

June 2 through June 21. Opening Stage begins June 2, grand final June 21. LANXESS Arena in Cologne.

Who's the favorite?

Vitality at 50% on Polymarket. Spirit second at 15%, NaVi at 9%, Falcons at 8%. Full ladder above. See the CS2 futures page for the 32-team market.

What's the format?

Three Swiss stages (Opening, Challengers, Legends) into a single-elim bracket. Top 8 from Legends advance. BO5 grand final.

Who should I watch?

FUT and Spirit are trending up. PARIVISION and Aurora are trending down. Full breakdown of players and teams to watch at Cologne.

Where can I get IEM Cologne predictions and picks?

CARNAGE publishes player ratings for every slate. MARKET shows GOS fair value against the prediction market price for each game. RANGE shows the game shape and projected player ranges. Daily picks and analysis post throughout Cologne on the blog and the Kalshi CS2 hub.

Where do I play?

Kalshi for prediction markets (all 50 states, code SKILL). Betr Picks for kill pick'em in CA and TX (code SKILL). Sleeper for kill props in 30+ states.

What is CARNAGE?

Game of Skill's CS2 player rating system. Every player in a slate gets a 0–99 score based on form, matchup, and win probability. Ratings publish at gameofskill.gg/carnage before each stage.